Will the primary process in North West Essex concentrate the vote sufficiently to evict Kemi Badenoch? This is the last seat on the Electoral Calculus ranked list of predicted Labour wins. If a progressive candidate won here, on an even swing, the Conservatives would be reduced to under 100 MPs. East Anglia Bylines has an analysis of the Tory prospects in the East. It doesn't look good for Kemi Badenoch.